I am an Assistant Professor of Economics at Lehigh University, where I currently hold the Frank Hook Endowed Professorship. I received my PhD in Economics from Washington University in St. Louis in May 2013, and joined Lehigh University in Fall 2013. My primary research fields are macroeconomics and econometrics, and my research focuses on  nonlinear models of the business cycle. 

In particular, I am interested in (i) how general nonlinearities in demand shocks transmit to the macroeconomy, (ii) how business cycle nonlinearities can help us interpret the decoupling between the output cycle and the labor market cycle,  and (iii) how we can use econometric methods to disentangle permanent from cyclical movements in macroeconomic variables in a way that is consistent with macroeconomic theory in order to correctly identify potentially nonlinear business cycle movements. 

I am also a member of the executive committee of the Society for Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics.
 

In fall 2018 I am teaching Eco 365: Business, Government, and Macroeconomic Policy (undergraduate/ MS graduate advanced macroeconomics) and Eco 201: Fed Challenge (undergraduate).  In the spring semester, I teach  Eco 460: Time Series Analysis (MS Graduate), and Eco 029: Money, Banking, and Financial Markets, and co-teach Eco 418 (Graduate PhD Seminar on advanced topics in macroeconomics) with Alex Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy.

Publications

Working Papers

Work In Progress

  • Weak Identification, the Pile-up Problem, and Finite-Sample Inference for ARMA Models (with James Morley and Charles R. Nelson, previous draft from April 2018 is available on Request) 
  • Learning Based Inflation Expectations in an Unobserved Components Model (with Srikanth Ramamurthy)
  • A Look at Jobless Recoveries in G7 Countries (with Ahmed Elroukh and Alex Nikolsko-Rzhevskyy)

Upcoming and Recent Presentations and Recent Media Coverage

Upcoming

  • I will attend the Midwest Econometrics Group Meeting October 26th-27th in Madison, Wisconsin, where I will be presenting "When is Discretionary Fiscal Policy Effective?"
  • I will attend the SEA conference November 18th-20th, 2018 in Washington DC where I will be presenting "When is Discretionary Fiscal Policy Effective?". My coauthors Erkmen Giray Aslim and Ahmed Elroukh also plan to attend the conference, where they plan to present our joint work. 
 
Recent presentations
  • I presented "Is Business Cycle Nonlinearity Intrinsic in Industrialized Economies?" at the 5th Conference of the International Association for Applied Econometrics (IAAE 2018) June 26th-29th in Montreal, Canada
  • I visited the University of Zagreb June 14th-21st, 2018 where I taught a workshop on Empirical Tools in Macroeconomics June 18th-21st
  • I presented "Is Business Cycle Nonlinearity Intrinsic in Industrialized Economies?" at the University of Wisconsin Whitewater on April 13th, 2018
  • I presented "Jobless Recoveries and Time Variation in Labor Markets" at the Society for Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics Annual Symposium on March 20th in Tokyo, Japan
  • I presented "Jobless Recoveries at Time Variation in Labor Markets" at the Southern Economic Association Conference in November 2017 in Tampa, FL

Recent Media

  • I discussed my work on jobless recoveries and low growth in wages in an interview for ILUminate
  • My work with Chad Meyerhoefer and Richard Manski was featured on The Hill